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Presentation: Retail sales outlook for 2024

Webinar presentation

24 January 2024

The link provides a presentation associated with a webinar we held. The webinar addressed the updated outlook for retail sales and key drivers that could trigger an improvement in spending. In the presentation, we also address the outlook for interest rates, price inflation and online sales. While tax cuts will help sales later in 2024, lower retail price inflation, higher unemployment and a shift of spend to travel will all limit the upside in industry sales growth. We also outline the challenging operating cost environment including higher wages and rents in the presentation.

The link provides a presentation associated with a webinar we held. The webinar addressed the updated outlook for retail spending in FY24e and beyond. We are approaching the trough in retail spending in Australia. In the presentation, we address the shape of the retail cycle and how various categories may perform. The ability of households to drawdown on savings has helped cushion retail spending and housing indicators are starting to stabilise, which will help the sector. We also outline the challenges retailers face including higher wages and rents in the presentation.

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