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Guzman y Gomez (GYG) - 1H26 result analysis

Serving up leverage

25 February 2026

GyG reported network sales up 18% and EBITDA 30% higher for 1H26. While comparable sales momentum has slowed, EBITDA margin improvement was strong, helped by modest overhead cost growth. GyG’s comparable sales growth is more likely to settle near 4%-5% going forward. Operating leverage in 1H26e is likely to soften in 2H26e as overhead cost growth follows store growth more closely.  We expect US losses of $11-$16 million to persist for at least the next three years, which may frustrate some investors.

Guzman y Gomez (GYG) - FY25 result analysis

Are sales undercooked?

01 September 2025

GyG reported FY25 network sales growth of 23% and EBITDA at $65.1 million, up 46%. The company reported a step-down in comparable sales growth to 3.7% in the first seven weeks of 1Q26 vs 8.6% in 4Q25. The debate will be whether this lower growth persists and tempers expectations for margin expansion. While operating leverage may soften, the store rollout is skewed toward higher earning drive-thru sites and favourable moves in input costs will offset lower sales expectations in FY26e. The rebasing of comparable sales growth may be scrutinised, but even 4%-5% comp growth is still market leading.

Guzman y Gomez (GYG) - 1H25 result analysis

Not delivering much leverage yet

26 February 2025

GyG reported 1H25 network sales growth of 23% and network EBITDA growth of 28%. The strong sales have been helped by growth of breakfast sales and after 9pm. In addition, delivery sales have grown as a share of the business. While there was less operating leverage than hoped, the primary driver is additional store openings, which are a drag on margins in their first 12 months. While near-term leverage is softer, the company’s scope for store growth and margin expansion remains strong.

City Chic (CCX) - 1H25e trading update

Australian sales improving

20 January 2025

City Chic’s trading update for 1H25e shows an improvement in sales compared with six months ago, but ongoing challenges in the US and operating losses. We expect better profit margins in 2H25e given cost savings and more full-priced sales. However, we are more cautious on the sales outlook. Fundamentally, City Chic has stabilised its business, but the prospect for decent profit margins is still some way off. 

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