Noumi’s Plant-based Milk division sales were down 1% in 1Q26. Sales of Milklab grew 9.3% and there was modest growth in the export channel but private label contract manufacturing dragged the result down. Grocery customers have lowered shelf price and the expectation is that this will drive a volume recovery.

We forecast Plant-based milk to deliver 1H26e revenue of $95 million, up 1.9% driven by growth in the hotel, restaurants and cafes channel along with a strong result in exports. We forecast a 1H26e EBITDA margin for the division of 25%, down 213bp as Noumi invests in marketing.

The Australian grocery industry has returned to sluggish growth with challenges in both top-line sales growth and bottom-line cost pressures.  This chart pack addresses the risks and opportunities ahead for the Australian grocery industry. The presentation has three sections. 1) Consumers have more money to spend but will remain budget-conscious. 2) Retailers are struggling to deliver sufficient growth. 3) Volumes are weak, so where are the opportunities?