a2 Milk (A2M) - FY26 supply chain update

A blip or something more?

Published: 13 July 2026

A2 Milk’s recent update suggests that its product shortages in China have been resolved. The financial pain was a -$53 million hit to FY26e sales and -$33 million hit to EBITDA. Given A2 Milk’s disclosure, it appears the loss on China label sales was over $100 million, with half of the customers lost to competitors and half switching to A2 Milk English label. Re-capturing lost customers will take time and keeps us cautious on any sales recovery. On margins we are more optimistic about FY27e as Pokeno losses unwind and the supply chain has more inventory buffers.

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