Published: 05 July 2022
Australian retail sales rose 10.3% in May 2022. While it is a slowdown from April’s growth rate of 11.1%, the moderation in growth is mild, particularly given the pressures on consumers from higher interest rates and petrol prices. The Easter boost to supermarkets, liquor and apparel has faded, but all categories did well in May other than takeaway food which was up only 2.5%. In our view, April 2022 was the peak of retail sales and growth will slow each month going forward. Negative headlines may hit sales briefly, but the more fundamental slowdown associated with lower household incomes is more a risk to 2023 sales growth.
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