Published: 15 November 2024
The ACCC has approved the merger between Sigma and Chemist Warehouse. We expect the issuance of new shares to Chemist Warehouse will not be until February 2025 at the earliest and could be in March 2025. For a brief period, the stock could have a float-adjusted market cap of $14 billion. By April 2025, the market will increasingly turn its attention to the fundamental earnings and valuation drivers. The most compelling feature is strong revenue growth of circa 10-12%, with more than half from store count growth. The greatest unknown is where sustainable margins settle.
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